Friday, October 23, 2020

Expiration Report for Fri 10/23/20

I changed the format to include the Opened and Closed dates, instead of the expiration date.

Theses positions were closed the day before expiration. They all would have expired, however, by closing early I was able to increase the profit on the Seagulls by $87.42, and only slightly reduce the profit on the Jade Lizards by $16.52, for a net increase of $70.90.

The following Seagull positions were closed. All prices include TD commissions.

Stock Strikes Opened Closed Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 272/286/288 10/9/2020 10/22/2020 13 80% $27,200.00 $126.41 0.46% 12.12%
SPY 334/347/349 10/9/2020 10/22/2020 13 80% $33,400.00 $90.91 0.27% 7.10%

The following Jade Lizard positions were closed. All prices include TD commissions.

Stock Strikes Opened Closed Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 272/296/297 10/9/2020 10/22/2020 13 80% $27,200.00 $180.41 0.66% 17.29%
SPY 265/290/291 10/9/2020 10/22/2020 13 80% $33,400.00 $157.91 0.47% 12.33%

Saturday, October 17, 2020

Expiration Report for Fri 10/16/20

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions were closed. All prices include TD commissions.

StockPriceShrsOptStrikeOTMProbOTMExpDateDaysMarginPremiumROIAROI
XLI $76.88 100 P $73.00 -5.05% 83% 10/13/2020 12$7,300.00 $38.47 0.53% 16.03%
XLK $117.84 100 P $110.00 -6.65% 83% 10/12/2020 11$11,000.00 $70.97 0.65% 21.41%

The following Seagull positions were exercised/assigned. All prices include TD commissions.

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 265/282/284 10/16/2020 21 55% $26,500.00 $279.30 1.05% 18.32%
SPY 265/282/284 10/16/2020 21 55% $32,000.00 $286.18 0.89% 15.54%

The following Jade Lizard positions were closed. All prices include TD commissions.

Both Call options in each Jade Lizard were ITM, and both Put options were OTM. I bought back the Put options when the Ask was less than $0.10. Two days later I bought back the Call spreads when the Ask was less than $1 (i.e. less than the width of the spread). Had I let them get exercised/assigned, each spread would have reduced the overall profit by $100 (i.e the width of the spread). By closing the positions early, the overall profit was reduced by $70-80, saving $20-30.

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 265/290/291 10/14/2020 19 70% $26,500.00 $148.42 0.56% 10.76%
SPY 265/290/291 10/14/2020 19 70% $32,000.00 $145.43 0.45% 8.73%

Thursday, October 15, 2020

New Trades

The following Seagull (CSP + Bull Call Debit Spread) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

Profit if all options are OTM at expiration (i.e above the short put and below the long call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 274/291/293 10/30/2020 15 81% $27,400.00 $103.45 0.38% 9.19%
SPY 333/348/350 10/30/2020 15 81% $33,300.00 $63.45 0.19% 4.64%

Profit if both call options are ITM at expiration (i.e above the short call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 274/291/293 10/30/2020 15 55% $27,400.00 $303.45 1.11% 26.95%
SPY 333/348/350 10/30/2020 15 55% $33,300.00 $263.45 0.79% 19.25%

The following Jade Lizard (CSP + Bear Call Credit Spread) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

Profit if all options are OTM at expiration (i.e above the short put and below the long call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 274/305/306 10/30/2020 15 81% $27,400.00 $218.45 0.80% 19.40%
SPY 333/359/360 10/30/2020 15 81% $33,300.00 $191.45 0.57% 13.99%

Profit if both call options are ITM at expiration (i.e above the short call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 274/305/306 10/30/2020 15 81% $27,400.00 $118.45 0.43% 10.52%
SPY 333/359/360 10/30/2020 15 81% $33,300.00 $91.45 0.27% 6.68%

Wednesday, October 14, 2020

New Trades

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

StockPriceShrsOptStrikeOTMProbOTMExpDateDaysMarginPremiumROIAROI
XLB $66.12 200 P $63.00 -4.72% 81% 10/30/2020 16$12,600.00 $76.96 0.61% 13.93%
XLK $121.81 100 P $114.00 -6.41% 83% 10/30/2020 16$11,400.00 $85.48 0.75% 17.11%
XLV $107.52 100 P $103.00 -4.20% 83% 10/30/2020 16$10,300.00 $45.48 0.44% 10.07%

Tuesday, October 13, 2020

Seagull and Jade Lizard Trading Plan

INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE

The primary objective is to generate monthly income with a high probability of success.

INVESTMENT STRATEGY

The following two option strategies can be used individually or in combination on ETF's like QQQ & SPY:

  • Seagull - An option combination consisting of a Cash Secured Put (CSP) and a Bull Call Debit Spread. The premium collected from the short Put plus the short Call should be more than the premium paid for the long Call. This results in a net credit and a risk free trade to the upside. This strategy reaches maximum profit when the stock price is above the short Call at expiration (i.e. it has an upward bias).

  • Jade Lizard - An option combination consisting of a Cash Secured Put (CSP) and a Bear Call Credit Spread. The premium collected from the short Put plus the short Call will be more than the premium paid for the long Call. This results in a net credit and a risk free trade to the upside. This strategy reaches maximum profit when the stock price is below the short Call at expiration (i.e. it has a neutral to downward bias).

Seagull trades have 3 profit zones:

  • Zone 1: Between the short put and the long call. Max profit is the net credit received.
  • Zone 2: Between the long call and the short call. Max profit is the net credit plus the profit from closing the Bull Call Debit Spread, if any.
  • Zone 3: Above the short call. Max profit is the net credit received plus the width of the Bull Call Debit Spread (e.g $200 on a $2 spread).

Jade Lizard trades have 3 profit zones:

  • Zone 1: Between the short put and the short call. Max profit is the net credit received.
  • Zone 2: Between the short call and the long call. Max profit is the net credit minus the profit from closing the Bear Call Credit Spread, if any.
  • Zone 3: Below the long call. Max profit is the net credit received minus the width of the Bull Call Debit Spread (e.g $100 on a $1 spread).

Combining both strategies produces 3 primary profit zones:

  • Zone 1: Between the short Put strike and the long Seagull Call strike. Max profit is the net credit received (e.g. $300).
  • Zone 2: Between the long Seagull Call strike and the short Jade Lizard Call strike. Max profit is the net credit received plus the Bull Call Spread width (e.g. $500).
  • Zone 3: Above the long Jade Lizard Call strike. Max profit is Zone 2 max profit minus the Bear Call Spread width (e.g. ($400).

In a cash account or IRA, the margin requirement is equal to the strike price of the combined short Puts (e.g. a $300 strike would require $30,000 per strategy for a total of $60,000 margin requirement.). In a margin account, the requirement would be much less.

POSITION SIZING

Positions will be established at 1 contract (i.e. 100 shares) per option per strategy.

TRADE SETUP

Before entering a trade, be sure the underlying is in a neutral to bullish trend. Use Ichimoku Cloud to determine the trend. Key indicators of an uptrend:

  • The cloud is Green (Senkou Span A > Senkou Span B).
  • The stock price is above the cloud .
  • The Base Line (Kijun-sen) is above the cloud.
  • The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is above the cloud.

Support is at the bottom of the cloud, so look for short Put strikes below the cloud.

ENTRY STRATEGY

Every week, enter positions with expiration within 14-18 days. This is a continuous strategy with options expiring every week.

Seagull

  1. Buy an ATM/OTM Call with a delta of 50+ (50+% Probability ITM).
  2. Sell an OTM Call 2 strikes above the purchased Call (i.e. spread width of $200).
  3. Sell an OTM Put with a delta of 20 (80% Probability OTM). Ideally the strike should be below the cloud.
  4. Note: The premium collected from the sale of the Put and Call must be greater than the premium paid to purchase the lower strike Call, resulting in a net credit and risk free spread.

Jade Lizard

  1. Sell an OTM Call with a delta of 20 (80% Probability OTM).
  2. Buy an OTM Call 1 strike above the sold Call (i.e. spread width of $100).
  3. Sell an OTM Put with a delta of 20 (80% Probability OTM). Ideally the strike should be below the cloud. Use the same strike as the Seagull.
  4. Note: The premium collected from the sale of the Put and Call must be greater than the spread width, resulting in a net credit and risk free spread.

MANAGEMENT/EXIT STRATEGY

Each strategy consists of 2 parts (CSP + Call spread) and should be managed separately.

Cash Secured Put

At or before expiration, close the short Puts if they can be bought back for $.10 or less to take off the risk and margin requirement.

If the stock price reaches or breaches the short Put strike, consider rolling out, and down if possible, for a net credit to avoid assignment.

Ideally, the CSP will be OTM at expiration and expire worthless for maximum profit.

 

Bull Call Debit Spread

At or before expiration, close the short Call if it can be bought back for $.10 or less. This leaves the long Call uncovered for potential unlimited upside gain if the stock rises.

At expiration, if the long Call strike is ITM, but the short Call strike is OTM, close the spread.

At expiration, if both Call strikes are ITM, let them be exercised/assigned.

Ideally, the Call spread will be ITM at expiration for maximum profit.

 

Bear Call Credit Spread

At or before expiration, close the Call spread if the short Call can be bought back for $.10 or less.

At or before expiration, if the short Call strike is ITM, but the long Call strike is OTM, close the spread.

At expiration, if both Call strikes are ITM, close the spread if it can be bought back for less than the spread width, otherwise let them be exercised/assigned.

Ideally, the Call spread will be OTM at expiration and expire worthless for maximum profit.

Saturday, October 10, 2020

Expiration Report for Fri 10/09/20

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions were closed early (original expiration 10/09/20 & 10/16/20). All prices include TD commissions.

StockPriceOptStrikeOTMProbOTMExpDateDaysMarginPremiumROIAROI
QQQ $269.93 P $245.00 -9.24% 90% 10/5/2020 10$24,500.00 $100.47 0.41% 14.97%
XLB $63.49 P $60.00 -5.50% 83% 10/9/2020 8$6,000.00 $26.57 0.44% 20.20%

The following Seagull positions were exercised/assigned for the maximum profit. All prices include TD commissions.

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 254/270/272 10/9/2020 14 45% $25,400.00 $303.84 1.20% 31.19%
QQQ 251/270/271 10/9/2020 14 45% $25,100.00 $210.84 0.84% 21.90%
SPY 309/327/328 10/9/2020 14 48% $30,900.00 $204.72 0.66% 17.27%
SPY 313/327/329 10/9/2020 14 50% $31,300.00 $294.71 0.94% 24.55%

Friday, October 9, 2020

New Trades

The following Seagull (CSP + Bull Call Debit Spread) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

Profit if all options are OTM at expiration (i.e above the short put and below the long call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 272/286/288 10/23/2020 14 80% $27,200.00 $77.45 0.28% 7.42%
SPY 334/347/349 10/23/2020 14 80% $33,400.00 $52.45 0.16% 4.09%

Profit if both call options are ITM at expiration (i.e above the short call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 272/286/288 10/23/2020 14 55% $27,200.00 $277.45 1.02% 26.59%
SPY 334/347/349 10/23/2020 14 55% $33,400.00 $252.45 0.76% 19.71%

The following Jade Lizard (CSP + Bear Call Credit Spread) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

Profit if all options are OTM at expiration (i.e above the short put and below the long call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 272/296/297 10/23/2020 14 80% $27,200.00 $187.45 0.69% 17.97%
SPY 265/290/291 10/23/2020 14 80% $33,400.00 $167.45 0.50% 13.07%

Profit if both call options are ITM at expiration (i.e above the short call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 272/296/297 10/23/2020 14 80% $27,200.00 $87.45 0.32% 8.38%
SPY 265/290/291 10/23/2020 14 80% $33,400.00 $67.45 0.20% 5.27%

Saturday, October 3, 2020

Expiration Report for Fri 10/02/20

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions were closed early (original expiration 10/09/20). All prices include TD commissions.

StockPriceOptStrikeOTMProbOTMExpDateDaysMarginPremiumROIAROI
DIA $270.09 P $252.50 -6.51% 89% 10/2/2020 7$25,250.00 $83.97 0.33% 17.34%
SPY $326.98 P $302.00 -7.64% 90% 10/2/2020 7$30,200.00 $89.97 0.30% 15.53%

Friday, October 2, 2020

Seagulls and Jade Lizards

In this article I will show how to create Seagull and Jade Lizard positions. Each example will use SPY options expiring on 10/16/20, with prices as of 10/2/20.

A Seagull is a 3 legged option combination consisting of a Cash Secured Put and a Bull Call Debit Spread. The premium collected from the short put + the short call should be more than the premium paid for the long call. This results in a net credit and a risk free leg to the upside.

A Jade Lizard is a 3 legged option combination consisting of a Cash Secured Put and a Bear Call Credit Spread. The premium collected from the short put + the short call will be more than the premium paid for the long call. This results in a net credit and a risk free leg to the upside.

The following is a sample of a Seagull, a Jade Lizard, and a Combo of both, including risk graphs.

  • Underlying: SPY
  • Price: $333.84
  • Expiration: Oct 16 2020

Seagull

  • Entry: Sell the 319 Put + Buy the 334 Call + Sell the 336 Call
  • Net Credit: $91
  • Profit Zone 1: $91 (SPY between 319 & 334)
  • Profit Zone 2: $291 (SPY above $336) 

Jade Lizard

  • Entry: Sell the 319 Put + Sell the 342 Call + Buy the 343 Call
  • Net Credit: $235
  • Profit Zone 1: $235 (SPY between 319 & 342)
  • Profit Zone 2: $135 (SPY above $343) 

  •  

Seagull-Jade Lizard Combo

  • Net Credit: $326
  • Profit Zone 1: $326 (SPY between $319 & $334)
  • Profit Zone 2: $526 (SPY between $336 & $342)
  • Profit Zone 3: $426 (SPY above $343) 

  •  

Thursday, October 1, 2020

New Trades

The trades today include 2 Jade Lizards, which are similar to Seagulls. They both consist of a CSP plus a call spread. The Seagull is a CSP plus a Bull Call Debit Spread and a Jade Lizard is a CSP plus a Bear Call Credit Spread. The risk profiles are also similar except a Seagull has more profit on the upside and a Jade Lizard has more profit on the downside.

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

StockPriceOptStrikeOTMProbOTMExpDateDaysMarginPremiumROIAROI
XLB $63.49 P $60.00 -5.50% 83% 10/16/2020 15$6,000.00 $33.48 0.56% 13.58%
XLI $76.88 P $73.00 -5.05% 83% 10/16/2020 15$7,300.00 $41.48 0.57% 13.83%
XLK $117.84 P $110.00 -6.65% 83% 10/16/2020 15$11,000.00 $77.48 0.70% 17.14%

The following Seagull (CSP + Bull Call Debit Spread) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

Profit if all options are OTM at expiration (i.e above the short put and below the long call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 265/282/284 10/16/2020 15 80% $26,500.00 $88.45 0.33% 8.12%
SPY 265/282/284 10/16/2020 15 80% $32,000.00 $93.45 0.29% 7.11%

Profit if both call options are ITM at expiration (i.e above the short call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 265/282/284 10/16/2020 21 55% $26,500.00 $288.45 1.09% 18.92%
QQQ 265/282/284 10/16/2020 21 55% $32,000.00 $293.45 0.92% 15.94%

The following Jade Lizard (CSP + Bear Call Credit Spread) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

Profit if all options are OTM at expiration (i.e above the short put and below the long call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 265/290/291 10/16/2020 15 80% $26,500.00 $227.45 0.86% 20.89%
SPY 265/290/291 10/16/2020 15 80% $32,000.00 $226.45 0.71% 17.22%

Profit if both call options are ITM at expiration (i.e above the short call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 265/290/291 10/16/2020 21 70% $26,500.00 $127.45 0.48% 8.36%
QQQ 265/290/291 10/16/2020 21 70% $32,000.00 $126.45 0.40% 6.87%