Tuesday, December 15, 2020

New Trades

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

Stock Opened ExpDate Days Shrs Strikes ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
XLB 12/15/2020 12/31/2020 16 100 $67.00 81% $6,700.00 $34.48 0.51% 11.74%
XLI 12/15/2020 12/31/2020 16 100 $83.00 89% $8,300.00 $33.48 0.40% 9.20%
XLK 12/15/2020 12/31/2020 16 100 $118.00 85% $11,800.00 $53.48 0.45% 10.34%
XLP 12/15/2020 12/31/2020 16 100 $65.00 82% $6,500.00 $26.48 0.41% 9.29%
XLV 12/15/2020 12/31/2020 16 100 $107.00 85% $10,700.00 $40.48 0.38% 8.63%

The following Seagull (CSP + Bull Call Debit Spread) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

Profit if all options are OTM at expiration (i.e above the short put and below the long call).

Stock Opened ExpDate Days Shrs Strikes ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 12/15/2020 12/31/2020 16 100 287/306/308 85% $28,700.00 $52.45 0.18% 4.17%
SPY 12/15/2020 12/31/2020 16 100 350/369/371 85% $35,000.00 $59.45 0.17% 3.87%

Profit if both call options are ITM at expiration (i.e above the short call).

Stock Opened ExpDate Days Shrs Strikes ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 12/15/2020 12/31/2020 16 100 287/306/308 49% $28,700.00 $252.45 0.88% 20.07%
SPY 12/15/2020 12/31/2020 16 100 350/369/371 48% $35,000.00 $259.45 0.74% 16.91%

The following Jade Lizard (CSP + Bear Call Credit Spread) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

Profit if all options are OTM at expiration (i.e above the short put and below the long call).

Stock Opened ExpDate Days Shrs Strikes ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 12/15/2020 12/31/2020 16 100 287/317/318 85% $28,700.00 $174.45 0.61% 13.87%
SPY 12/15/2020 12/31/2020 16 100 350/378/379 85% $35,000.00 $175.45 0.50% 11.44%

Profit if both call options are ITM at expiration (i.e above the short call).

Stock Opened ExpDate Days Shrs Strikes ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 12/15/2020 12/31/2020 16 100 287/317/318 26% $28,700.00 $74.45 0.26% 5.92%
SPY 12/15/2020 12/31/2020 16 100 350/378/379 30% $35,000.00 $75.45 0.22% 4.92%

Friday, November 13, 2020

Expiration Report for Fri 11/13/20

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions were closed this week. All prices include TD commissions.

Stock Opened Closed Days Shrs Strikes ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
XLB 10/14/2020 11/9/2020 26 200 $63.00 81% $12,600.00 $179.87 1.43% 20.04%
XLK 10/14/2020 11/9/2020 26 100 $114.00 83% $11,400.00 $160.44 1.41% 19.76%
XLV 10/14/2020 11/12/2020 29 100 $103.00 83% $10,300.00 $41.47 0.40% 5.07%

The following Seagull positions were closed this week.. All prices include TD commissions.

Stock Opened Closed Days Shrs Strikes ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 10/15/2020 11/9/2020 25 100 257.5/291/293 81% $25,750.00 $179.33 0.70% 10.17%
SPY 10/15/2020 11/9/2020 25 100 317.5/348/350 81% $31,750.00 $133.32 0.42% 6.13%

The following Jade Lizard positions were closed this week.. All prices include TD commissions.

Stock Opened Closed Days Shrs Strikes ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 10/15/2020 11/9/2020 25 100 275.5/305/306 81% $25,750.00 $291.36 1.13% 16.52%
SPY 10/15/2020 11/9/2020 25 100 317.5/359/360 81% $31,750.00 $258.35 0.81% 11.88%

Friday, October 23, 2020

Expiration Report for Fri 10/23/20

I changed the format to include the Opened and Closed dates, instead of the expiration date.

Theses positions were closed the day before expiration. They all would have expired, however, by closing early I was able to increase the profit on the Seagulls by $87.42, and only slightly reduce the profit on the Jade Lizards by $16.52, for a net increase of $70.90.

The following Seagull positions were closed. All prices include TD commissions.

Stock Strikes Opened Closed Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 272/286/288 10/9/2020 10/22/2020 13 80% $27,200.00 $126.41 0.46% 12.12%
SPY 334/347/349 10/9/2020 10/22/2020 13 80% $33,400.00 $90.91 0.27% 7.10%

The following Jade Lizard positions were closed. All prices include TD commissions.

Stock Strikes Opened Closed Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 272/296/297 10/9/2020 10/22/2020 13 80% $27,200.00 $180.41 0.66% 17.29%
SPY 265/290/291 10/9/2020 10/22/2020 13 80% $33,400.00 $157.91 0.47% 12.33%

Saturday, October 17, 2020

Expiration Report for Fri 10/16/20

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions were closed. All prices include TD commissions.

StockPriceShrsOptStrikeOTMProbOTMExpDateDaysMarginPremiumROIAROI
XLI $76.88 100 P $73.00 -5.05% 83% 10/13/2020 12$7,300.00 $38.47 0.53% 16.03%
XLK $117.84 100 P $110.00 -6.65% 83% 10/12/2020 11$11,000.00 $70.97 0.65% 21.41%

The following Seagull positions were exercised/assigned. All prices include TD commissions.

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 265/282/284 10/16/2020 21 55% $26,500.00 $279.30 1.05% 18.32%
SPY 265/282/284 10/16/2020 21 55% $32,000.00 $286.18 0.89% 15.54%

The following Jade Lizard positions were closed. All prices include TD commissions.

Both Call options in each Jade Lizard were ITM, and both Put options were OTM. I bought back the Put options when the Ask was less than $0.10. Two days later I bought back the Call spreads when the Ask was less than $1 (i.e. less than the width of the spread). Had I let them get exercised/assigned, each spread would have reduced the overall profit by $100 (i.e the width of the spread). By closing the positions early, the overall profit was reduced by $70-80, saving $20-30.

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 265/290/291 10/14/2020 19 70% $26,500.00 $148.42 0.56% 10.76%
SPY 265/290/291 10/14/2020 19 70% $32,000.00 $145.43 0.45% 8.73%

Thursday, October 15, 2020

New Trades

The following Seagull (CSP + Bull Call Debit Spread) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

Profit if all options are OTM at expiration (i.e above the short put and below the long call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 274/291/293 10/30/2020 15 81% $27,400.00 $103.45 0.38% 9.19%
SPY 333/348/350 10/30/2020 15 81% $33,300.00 $63.45 0.19% 4.64%

Profit if both call options are ITM at expiration (i.e above the short call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 274/291/293 10/30/2020 15 55% $27,400.00 $303.45 1.11% 26.95%
SPY 333/348/350 10/30/2020 15 55% $33,300.00 $263.45 0.79% 19.25%

The following Jade Lizard (CSP + Bear Call Credit Spread) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

Profit if all options are OTM at expiration (i.e above the short put and below the long call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 274/305/306 10/30/2020 15 81% $27,400.00 $218.45 0.80% 19.40%
SPY 333/359/360 10/30/2020 15 81% $33,300.00 $191.45 0.57% 13.99%

Profit if both call options are ITM at expiration (i.e above the short call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 274/305/306 10/30/2020 15 81% $27,400.00 $118.45 0.43% 10.52%
SPY 333/359/360 10/30/2020 15 81% $33,300.00 $91.45 0.27% 6.68%

Wednesday, October 14, 2020

New Trades

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

StockPriceShrsOptStrikeOTMProbOTMExpDateDaysMarginPremiumROIAROI
XLB $66.12 200 P $63.00 -4.72% 81% 10/30/2020 16$12,600.00 $76.96 0.61% 13.93%
XLK $121.81 100 P $114.00 -6.41% 83% 10/30/2020 16$11,400.00 $85.48 0.75% 17.11%
XLV $107.52 100 P $103.00 -4.20% 83% 10/30/2020 16$10,300.00 $45.48 0.44% 10.07%

Tuesday, October 13, 2020

Seagull and Jade Lizard Trading Plan

INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE

The primary objective is to generate monthly income with a high probability of success.

INVESTMENT STRATEGY

The following two option strategies can be used individually or in combination on ETF's like QQQ & SPY:

  • Seagull - An option combination consisting of a Cash Secured Put (CSP) and a Bull Call Debit Spread. The premium collected from the short Put plus the short Call should be more than the premium paid for the long Call. This results in a net credit and a risk free trade to the upside. This strategy reaches maximum profit when the stock price is above the short Call at expiration (i.e. it has an upward bias).

  • Jade Lizard - An option combination consisting of a Cash Secured Put (CSP) and a Bear Call Credit Spread. The premium collected from the short Put plus the short Call will be more than the premium paid for the long Call. This results in a net credit and a risk free trade to the upside. This strategy reaches maximum profit when the stock price is below the short Call at expiration (i.e. it has a neutral to downward bias).

Seagull trades have 3 profit zones:

  • Zone 1: Between the short put and the long call. Max profit is the net credit received.
  • Zone 2: Between the long call and the short call. Max profit is the net credit plus the profit from closing the Bull Call Debit Spread, if any.
  • Zone 3: Above the short call. Max profit is the net credit received plus the width of the Bull Call Debit Spread (e.g $200 on a $2 spread).

Jade Lizard trades have 3 profit zones:

  • Zone 1: Between the short put and the short call. Max profit is the net credit received.
  • Zone 2: Between the short call and the long call. Max profit is the net credit minus the profit from closing the Bear Call Credit Spread, if any.
  • Zone 3: Below the long call. Max profit is the net credit received minus the width of the Bull Call Debit Spread (e.g $100 on a $1 spread).

Combining both strategies produces 3 primary profit zones:

  • Zone 1: Between the short Put strike and the long Seagull Call strike. Max profit is the net credit received (e.g. $300).
  • Zone 2: Between the long Seagull Call strike and the short Jade Lizard Call strike. Max profit is the net credit received plus the Bull Call Spread width (e.g. $500).
  • Zone 3: Above the long Jade Lizard Call strike. Max profit is Zone 2 max profit minus the Bear Call Spread width (e.g. ($400).

In a cash account or IRA, the margin requirement is equal to the strike price of the combined short Puts (e.g. a $300 strike would require $30,000 per strategy for a total of $60,000 margin requirement.). In a margin account, the requirement would be much less.

POSITION SIZING

Positions will be established at 1 contract (i.e. 100 shares) per option per strategy.

TRADE SETUP

Before entering a trade, be sure the underlying is in a neutral to bullish trend. Use Ichimoku Cloud to determine the trend. Key indicators of an uptrend:

  • The cloud is Green (Senkou Span A > Senkou Span B).
  • The stock price is above the cloud .
  • The Base Line (Kijun-sen) is above the cloud.
  • The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is above the cloud.

Support is at the bottom of the cloud, so look for short Put strikes below the cloud.

ENTRY STRATEGY

Every week, enter positions with expiration within 14-18 days. This is a continuous strategy with options expiring every week.

Seagull

  1. Buy an ATM/OTM Call with a delta of 50+ (50+% Probability ITM).
  2. Sell an OTM Call 2 strikes above the purchased Call (i.e. spread width of $200).
  3. Sell an OTM Put with a delta of 20 (80% Probability OTM). Ideally the strike should be below the cloud.
  4. Note: The premium collected from the sale of the Put and Call must be greater than the premium paid to purchase the lower strike Call, resulting in a net credit and risk free spread.

Jade Lizard

  1. Sell an OTM Call with a delta of 20 (80% Probability OTM).
  2. Buy an OTM Call 1 strike above the sold Call (i.e. spread width of $100).
  3. Sell an OTM Put with a delta of 20 (80% Probability OTM). Ideally the strike should be below the cloud. Use the same strike as the Seagull.
  4. Note: The premium collected from the sale of the Put and Call must be greater than the spread width, resulting in a net credit and risk free spread.

MANAGEMENT/EXIT STRATEGY

Each strategy consists of 2 parts (CSP + Call spread) and should be managed separately.

Cash Secured Put

At or before expiration, close the short Puts if they can be bought back for $.10 or less to take off the risk and margin requirement.

If the stock price reaches or breaches the short Put strike, consider rolling out, and down if possible, for a net credit to avoid assignment.

Ideally, the CSP will be OTM at expiration and expire worthless for maximum profit.

 

Bull Call Debit Spread

At or before expiration, close the short Call if it can be bought back for $.10 or less. This leaves the long Call uncovered for potential unlimited upside gain if the stock rises.

At expiration, if the long Call strike is ITM, but the short Call strike is OTM, close the spread.

At expiration, if both Call strikes are ITM, let them be exercised/assigned.

Ideally, the Call spread will be ITM at expiration for maximum profit.

 

Bear Call Credit Spread

At or before expiration, close the Call spread if the short Call can be bought back for $.10 or less.

At or before expiration, if the short Call strike is ITM, but the long Call strike is OTM, close the spread.

At expiration, if both Call strikes are ITM, close the spread if it can be bought back for less than the spread width, otherwise let them be exercised/assigned.

Ideally, the Call spread will be OTM at expiration and expire worthless for maximum profit.

Saturday, October 10, 2020

Expiration Report for Fri 10/09/20

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions were closed early (original expiration 10/09/20 & 10/16/20). All prices include TD commissions.

StockPriceOptStrikeOTMProbOTMExpDateDaysMarginPremiumROIAROI
QQQ $269.93 P $245.00 -9.24% 90% 10/5/2020 10$24,500.00 $100.47 0.41% 14.97%
XLB $63.49 P $60.00 -5.50% 83% 10/9/2020 8$6,000.00 $26.57 0.44% 20.20%

The following Seagull positions were exercised/assigned for the maximum profit. All prices include TD commissions.

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 254/270/272 10/9/2020 14 45% $25,400.00 $303.84 1.20% 31.19%
QQQ 251/270/271 10/9/2020 14 45% $25,100.00 $210.84 0.84% 21.90%
SPY 309/327/328 10/9/2020 14 48% $30,900.00 $204.72 0.66% 17.27%
SPY 313/327/329 10/9/2020 14 50% $31,300.00 $294.71 0.94% 24.55%

Friday, October 9, 2020

New Trades

The following Seagull (CSP + Bull Call Debit Spread) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

Profit if all options are OTM at expiration (i.e above the short put and below the long call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 272/286/288 10/23/2020 14 80% $27,200.00 $77.45 0.28% 7.42%
SPY 334/347/349 10/23/2020 14 80% $33,400.00 $52.45 0.16% 4.09%

Profit if both call options are ITM at expiration (i.e above the short call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 272/286/288 10/23/2020 14 55% $27,200.00 $277.45 1.02% 26.59%
SPY 334/347/349 10/23/2020 14 55% $33,400.00 $252.45 0.76% 19.71%

The following Jade Lizard (CSP + Bear Call Credit Spread) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

Profit if all options are OTM at expiration (i.e above the short put and below the long call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 272/296/297 10/23/2020 14 80% $27,200.00 $187.45 0.69% 17.97%
SPY 265/290/291 10/23/2020 14 80% $33,400.00 $167.45 0.50% 13.07%

Profit if both call options are ITM at expiration (i.e above the short call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 272/296/297 10/23/2020 14 80% $27,200.00 $87.45 0.32% 8.38%
SPY 265/290/291 10/23/2020 14 80% $33,400.00 $67.45 0.20% 5.27%

Saturday, October 3, 2020

Expiration Report for Fri 10/02/20

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions were closed early (original expiration 10/09/20). All prices include TD commissions.

StockPriceOptStrikeOTMProbOTMExpDateDaysMarginPremiumROIAROI
DIA $270.09 P $252.50 -6.51% 89% 10/2/2020 7$25,250.00 $83.97 0.33% 17.34%
SPY $326.98 P $302.00 -7.64% 90% 10/2/2020 7$30,200.00 $89.97 0.30% 15.53%

Friday, October 2, 2020

Seagulls and Jade Lizards

In this article I will show how to create Seagull and Jade Lizard positions. Each example will use SPY options expiring on 10/16/20, with prices as of 10/2/20.

A Seagull is a 3 legged option combination consisting of a Cash Secured Put and a Bull Call Debit Spread. The premium collected from the short put + the short call should be more than the premium paid for the long call. This results in a net credit and a risk free leg to the upside.

A Jade Lizard is a 3 legged option combination consisting of a Cash Secured Put and a Bear Call Credit Spread. The premium collected from the short put + the short call will be more than the premium paid for the long call. This results in a net credit and a risk free leg to the upside.

The following is a sample of a Seagull, a Jade Lizard, and a Combo of both, including risk graphs.

  • Underlying: SPY
  • Price: $333.84
  • Expiration: Oct 16 2020

Seagull

  • Entry: Sell the 319 Put + Buy the 334 Call + Sell the 336 Call
  • Net Credit: $91
  • Profit Zone 1: $91 (SPY between 319 & 334)
  • Profit Zone 2: $291 (SPY above $336) 

Jade Lizard

  • Entry: Sell the 319 Put + Sell the 342 Call + Buy the 343 Call
  • Net Credit: $235
  • Profit Zone 1: $235 (SPY between 319 & 342)
  • Profit Zone 2: $135 (SPY above $343) 

  •  

Seagull-Jade Lizard Combo

  • Net Credit: $326
  • Profit Zone 1: $326 (SPY between $319 & $334)
  • Profit Zone 2: $526 (SPY between $336 & $342)
  • Profit Zone 3: $426 (SPY above $343) 

  •  

Thursday, October 1, 2020

New Trades

The trades today include 2 Jade Lizards, which are similar to Seagulls. They both consist of a CSP plus a call spread. The Seagull is a CSP plus a Bull Call Debit Spread and a Jade Lizard is a CSP plus a Bear Call Credit Spread. The risk profiles are also similar except a Seagull has more profit on the upside and a Jade Lizard has more profit on the downside.

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

StockPriceOptStrikeOTMProbOTMExpDateDaysMarginPremiumROIAROI
XLB $63.49 P $60.00 -5.50% 83% 10/16/2020 15$6,000.00 $33.48 0.56% 13.58%
XLI $76.88 P $73.00 -5.05% 83% 10/16/2020 15$7,300.00 $41.48 0.57% 13.83%
XLK $117.84 P $110.00 -6.65% 83% 10/16/2020 15$11,000.00 $77.48 0.70% 17.14%

The following Seagull (CSP + Bull Call Debit Spread) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

Profit if all options are OTM at expiration (i.e above the short put and below the long call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 265/282/284 10/16/2020 15 80% $26,500.00 $88.45 0.33% 8.12%
SPY 265/282/284 10/16/2020 15 80% $32,000.00 $93.45 0.29% 7.11%

Profit if both call options are ITM at expiration (i.e above the short call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 265/282/284 10/16/2020 21 55% $26,500.00 $288.45 1.09% 18.92%
QQQ 265/282/284 10/16/2020 21 55% $32,000.00 $293.45 0.92% 15.94%

The following Jade Lizard (CSP + Bear Call Credit Spread) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

Profit if all options are OTM at expiration (i.e above the short put and below the long call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 265/290/291 10/16/2020 15 80% $26,500.00 $227.45 0.86% 20.89%
SPY 265/290/291 10/16/2020 15 80% $32,000.00 $226.45 0.71% 17.22%

Profit if both call options are ITM at expiration (i.e above the short call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 265/290/291 10/16/2020 21 70% $26,500.00 $127.45 0.48% 8.36%
QQQ 265/290/291 10/16/2020 21 70% $32,000.00 $126.45 0.40% 6.87%

Saturday, September 26, 2020

Expiration Report for Fri 09/25/20

The following Covered Call (CC) positions expired. All prices include TD commissions.

StockPriceOptStrikeOTMProbOTMExpDateDaysMarginPremiumROIAROI
XLI $77.40 P $73.00 -5.68% 80% 9/25/2020 15$7,300.00 $51.47 0.71% 17.16%
XLK $116.72 P $107.00 -8.33% 81% 9/25/2020 15$10,700.00 $101.47 0.95% 23.08%

The following Bullish Seagull positions expired for the minimum profit. All prices include TD commissions.

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days Margin P/L ROI AROI
DIA 265/281/282 9/25/2020 16 80% $26,500.00 $121.41 0.46% 10.45%
QQQ 258/278/281 9/25/2020 16 80% $25,800.00 $125.40 0.49% 11.09%
QQQ 250/278/279 9/25/2020 16 87% $25,000.00 $106.39 0.43% 9.71%
SPY 322/341/343 9/25/2020 16 80% $32,200.00 $136.37 0.42% 9.66%
SPY 314/340/342 9/25/2020 16 87% $31,400.00 $70.39 0.22% 5.11%

Friday, September 25, 2020

New Trades

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

StockPriceOptStrikeOTMProbOTMExpDateDaysMarginPremiumROIAROI
DIA $270.09 P $252.50 -6.51% 89% 10/9/2020 14$25,250.00 $91.48 0.36% 9.45%
QQQ $269.93 P $245.00 -9.24% 90% 10/9/2020 14$24,500.00 $104.48 0.43% 11.12%
SPY $326.98 P $302.00 -7.64% 90% 10/9/2020 14$30,200.00 $97.48 0.32% 8.42%

The following Bullish Seagull (Short Put + Long Call + Short Call) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

Minimum profit if all options are OTM at expiration (i.e above the short put and below the long call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 254/270/272 10/9/2020 14 81% $25,400.00 $104.45 0.41% 10.72%
QQQ 251/270/271 10/9/2020 14 85% $25,100.00 $111.45 0.44% 11.58%
SPY 309/327/328 10/9/2020 14 85% $30,900.00 $105.45 0.34% 8.90%
SPY 313/327/329 10/9/2020 14 79% $31,300.00 $95.45 0.30% 7.95%

Maximum profit if both call options are ITM at expiration (i.e above the short call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 254/270/272 10/9/2020 14 45% $25,400.00 $304.45 1.20% 31.25%
QQQ 251/270/271 10/9/2020 14 45% $25,100.00 $211.45 0.84% 21.96%
SPY 309/327/328 10/9/2020 14 50% $30,900.00 $205.45 0.66% 17.33%
SPY 313/327/329 10/9/2020 14 50% $31,300.00 $295.45 0.94% 24.61%

Saturday, September 19, 2020

Expiration Report for Fri 09/18/20

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions were closed. All prices include TD commissions.

Thes QQQ position was originally part of a Bullish Seagulls, for the 9/11 expiration, that was rolled to avoid assignment. The premium is the net amount from rolling minus the amount to close.

StockPriceOptStrikeOTMProbOTMExpDateDaysMarginPremiumROIAROI
QQQ $271.60 P $265.00 -2.43% 67% 9/18/2020 8$26,500.00 $98.93 0.37% 17.03%
SPY $334.02 P $326.00 -2.40% 70% 9/18/2020 8$32,600.00 $111.93 0.34% 15.67%

Saturday, September 12, 2020

Expiration Report for Fri 09/11/20

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions expired. All prices include TD commissions.

The SPY Sep 11 333 put was rolled out and down to the Sep 18 265 put for a net credit to avoid assignment.

StockPriceOptStrikeOTMProbOTMExpDateDaysMarginPremiumROIAROI
DIA $285.79 P $273.00 -4.48% 90% 9/11/2020 15$27,300.00 $126.47 0.46% 11.27%
QQQ $292.64 P $266.00 -9.10% 90% 9/11/2020 15$26,600.00 $116.47 0.44% 10.65%
XLK $122.67 P $111.00 -9.51% 90% 9/11/2020 15$22,200.00 $102.96 0.46% 11.29%

The following Bullish Seagull positions were expired today for the minimum profit. All prices include TD commissions.

The QQQ Sep 11 272 put was rolled out and down to the Sep 18 265 put for a net credit to avoid assignment.

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 272/293/294 9/11/2020 15 87% $27,200.00 $116.42 0.43% 10.42%

Thursday, September 10, 2020

New Trades

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

StockPriceOptStrikeOTMProbOTMExpDateDaysMarginPremiumROIAROI
XLI $77.40 P $73.00 -5.68% 80% 9/25/2020 15$7,300.00 $51.47 0.71% 17.16%
XLK $116.72 P $107.00 -8.33% 81% 9/25/2020 15$10,700.00 $101.47 0.95% 23.08%

Wednesday, September 9, 2020

New Trades

The following Bullish Seagull (Short Put + Long Call + Short Call) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

I got distracted and bought/sold the wrong strike calls on the second SPY trade, which cost me about $30, which is why the credit was less than $100.

Minimum profit if all options are OTM at expiration (i.e above the short put and below the long call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
DIA 265/281/282 9/25/2020 16 80% $26,500.00 $124.42 0.47% 10.71%
QQQ 258/278/281 9/25/2020 16 80% $25,800.00 $131.42 0.51% 11.62%
QQQ 250/278/279 9/25/2020 16 87% $25,000.00 $113.41 0.45% 10.35%
SPY 322/341/343 9/25/2020 16 80% $33,344.05 $139.38 0.42% 9.54%
SPY 314/340/342 9/25/2020 16 87% $31,400.00 $74.41 0.24% 5.41%

Maximum profit if both call options are ITM at expiration (i.e above the short call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
DIA 265/281/282 9/25/2020 16 49% $26,500.00 $224.42 0.85% 19.32%
QQQ 258/278/281 9/25/2020 16 49% $25,800.00 $431.42 1.67% 38.15%
QQQ 250/278/279 9/25/2020 16 52% $25,000.00 $213.41 0.85% 19.47%
SPY 322/341/343 9/25/2020 16 49% $32,200.00 $339.38 1.05% 24.04%
SPY 314/340/342 9/25/2020 16 51% $31,400.00 $274.41 0.87% 19.94%

Saturday, September 5, 2020

Expiration Report for Fri 09/04/20

The following Covered Call (CC) positions were called away. All prices include TD commissions.

Stock Opened Closed Days Bought Sold Gain Income P/L ROI AROI
ADM 11/22/2018 9/4/2020 662 $9,000.00 $8,999.78 ($0.22) $589.38 $589.16 6.55% 3.61%

The following Bullish Seagull positions were exercised/assigned today for the maximum profit. All prices include TD commissions.

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
DIA 268/279/280 9/4/2020 16 43% $26,800.00 $203.77 0.76% 17.35%
QQQ 264/279/280 9/4/2020 16 45% $26,400.00 $222.78 0.84% 19.25%
SPY 107/113/114 9/4/2020 16 44% $32,700.00 $207.66 0.64% 14.49%

Saturday, August 29, 2020

Expiration Report for Fri 08/28/20

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions expired. All prices include TD commissions.

StockPriceOptStrikeOTMProbOTMExpDateDaysMarginPremiumROIAROI
DIA $279.94 P $265.00 -5.34% 85% 8/28/2020 16$26,500.00 $109.30 0.41% 9.41%
SPY $338.18 P $320.00 -5.38% 88% 8/28/2020 16$32,000.00 $99.30 0.31% 7.08%
XLB $62.72 P $60.00 -4.34% 81% 8/28/2020 14$6,000.00 $33.32 0.56% 14.48%
XLI $77.74 P $74.00 -4.81% 83% 8/28/2020 14$7,400.00 $36.32 0.49% 12.80%
XLV $105.96 P $102.00 -3.74% 80% 8/28/2020 17$10,200.00 $62.32 0.61% 13.12%

The following Bullish Seagull positions were exercised/assigned today for the maximum profit. All prices include TD commissions.

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
XLK 107/113/114 8/28/2020 17 38% $10,700.00 $144.69 1.35% 29.03%
QQQ 258/272/274 8/28/2020 16 38% $25,800.00 $300.33 1.16% 26.56%

Thursday, August 27, 2020

New Trades

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

StockPriceOptStrikeOTMProbOTMExpDateDaysMarginPremiumROIAROI
DIA $285.79 P $273.00 -4.48% 90% 9/11/2020 15$27,300.00 $126.47 0.46% 11.27%
QQQ $292.64 P $266.00 -9.10% 90% 9/11/2020 15$26,600.00 $116.47 0.44% 10.65%
SPY $349.56 P $333.00 -4.74% 85% 9/11/2020 15$33,300.00 $146.47 0.44% 10.70%
XLK $122.67 P $111.00 -9.51% 90% 9/11/2020 15$22,200.00 $102.96 0.46% 11.29%

The following Bullish Seagull (Short Put + Long Call + Short Call) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

Minimum profit if all options are OTM at expiration (i.e above the short put and below the long call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 272/293/294 9/11/2020 15 87% $27,200.00 $116.42 0.43% 10.42%

Maximum profit if both call options are ITM at expiration (i.e above the short call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 272/293/294 9/11/2020 15 47% $27,200.00 $216.42 0.80% 19.36%

Saturday, August 22, 2020

Expiration Report for Fri 08/21/20

The following Covered Call (CC) positions were called away. All prices include TD commissions.

Stock Opened Closed Days Bought Sold Gain Income P/L ROI AROI
CARR 2/12/2020 8/21/2020 191 $2,900.00 $2,900.00 $0.00 $138.89 $138.89 4.79% 9.15%

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions were closed. All prices include TD commissions.

StockPriceOptStrikeOTMExpDateClosedDaysMarginPremiumROIAROI
XLK $112.64 P $104.00 -7.67% 8/28/2020 8/21/2020 10$10,400.00 $50.30 0.48% 17.65%

Wednesday, August 19, 2020

New Trades

The following Bullish Seagull (Short Put + Long Call + Short Call) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

Minimum profit if all options are OTM at expiration (i.e above the short put and below the long call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
DIA 268/279/280 9/4/2020 16 80% $26,800.00 $108.42 0.40% 9.23%
QQQ 264/279/280 9/4/2020 16 81% $26,400.00 $128.42 0.49% 11.10%
SPY 107/113/114 9/4/2020 16 80% $32,700.00 $108.42 0.33% 7.56%

Maximum profit if both call options are ITM at expiration (i.e above the short call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
DIA 268/279/280 9/4/2020 16 43% $26,800.00 $208.42 0.78% 17.74%
QQQ 264/279/280 9/4/2020 16 45% $26,400.00 $228.42 0.87% 19.74%
SPY 107/113/114 9/4/2020 16 44% $32,700.00 $208.42 0.64% 14.54%

Saturday, August 15, 2020

Covered Calls, Cash Secured Puts, and Bullish Seagulls

In this article I will show how to create Covered Call, Cash Secured Put, and Bullish Seagull positions.

Each example will use XLK options expiring on 9/11/20, with prices as of 8/14/20

Standard Covered Call

Formula = Long Stock + Short Call

First let's look at a risk graph for a Long Stock position. Here you can see that there is unlimited downside risk and unlimited upside potential. 

Selling an OTM call will create a Covered Call position, since the call is covered by the stock position. Here the downside risk remains the same, however the upside potential is capped by the strike price of the sold call. So for the benefit of the premium collected on the call, which reduces your cost basis, you give up some upside potential. 

Synthetic Covered Call

Formula = Synthetic Long Stock (Long Call + Short Put) + Short Call

Using options only, you can create a Synthetic Long Stock position by buying a call and selling a put at the same strike. This has the same risk profile as Long Stock, but at a lower cost, and in some cases at no cost or a net credit. 

Selling an OTM call will create a Synthetic Covered Call position, since the short call is covered by the long call (i.e Bull Call Spread). Again, downside risk remains the same, and upside potential is capped. However, this trade is less capital intensive than a Standard Covered Call. 

Cash Secured Put

Formula = Short Put

Instead of creating either variation of Covered Calls, you could just sell an OTM Cash Secured Put to replicate the risk profile. This is the simplest option (pun intended).

Bullish Seagull

Formula = Short Put + Long Call + Short Call

Formula = Synthetic Long Stock Split Strike (Long Call + Short Put) + Short Call

Formula = Cash Secured Put (Short Put) + Bull Call Spread (Long Call + Short Call)

In the Synthetic Long Stock position example above, the call/put were bought/sold at the same strike. However, you can buy/sell at different strikes, which creates a Synthetic Long Stock Split Strike position. This position is less aggressive and has more downside protection, but at a cost (i.e. net debit vs net credit). 

Selling an OTM call will create a Bullish Seagull, which I described here

Conclusion

There are many ways of combining options to create positions with similar risk profiles. I encourage you to try this for yourself and see what you can come up with.

I hope you found this useful.

Expiration Report for Fri 08/14/20

The following Covered Call (CC) positions were called away. All prices include IB commissions.

Stock Opened Closed Days Bought Sold Gain Income P/L ROI AROI
EMR 1/31/2020 8/14/2020 186 $6,750.00 $6,800.00 $50.00 $323.69 $373.69 5.54% 10.86%

Friday, August 14, 2020

New Trades

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

StockPriceOptStrikeOTMProbOTMExpDateDaysMarginPremiumROIAROI
XLB $62.72 P $60.00 -4.34% 81% 8/28/2020 14$6,000.00 $33.32 0.56% 14.48%
XLI $77.74 P $74.00 -4.81% 83% 8/28/2020 14$7,400.00 $36.32 0.49% 12.80%

Thursday, August 13, 2020

New Trades

The following Cash Secured Put (CSP) positions were established today. All prices include TD commissions.

StockPriceOptStrikeOTMProbOTMExpDateDaysMarginPremiumROIAROI
DIA $279.94 P $265.00 -5.34% 85% 8/28/2020 16$26,500.00 $113.32 0.43% 9.76%
SPY $338.18 P $320.00 -5.38% 88% 8/28/2020 16$32,000.00 $102.32 0.32% 7.29%

Wednesday, August 12, 2020

QQQ Seagull Analysis

Today I established a Bullish Seagull position on QQQ. Here's the analysis using Thinkorswim (TOS).

This Bullish Seagull (Short Put + Long Call + Short Call) position has two possible outcomes as follows:

Minimum profit if all options are OTM at expiration (i.e above the short put and below the long call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 258/272/274 8/28/2020 16 78% $25,800.00 $102.97 0.40% 9.10%

Maximum profit if both call options are ITM at expiration (i.e above the short call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
QQQ 258/272/274 8/28/2020 16 43% $25,800.00 $302.97 1.17% 26.79%

The following chart show QQQ in a solid uptrend. I've drawn price lines at the short put and short call levels. Any price above the short call ($274) will result in max profit, and any price below the short put ($258) will result in the min profit. 

 

The risk graph shows the profit zones, upper and lower strikes, and breakeven level. Above are probabilities of being within those areas. The vertical line is the Aug 28 expiration. 

 

The risk graph shows the profit zones, upper and lower strikes, and breakeven level. At the top are the probabilities of being within those ranges (22.03% below $258, 34.97% between $258 and $274, and 42.99% being above $274). As you can see, it's also a lopsided seagull, with more room between strikes to the downside, where all the risk is. This is by design.

I hope this has been helpful.

Tuesday, August 11, 2020

XLK Seagull Analysis

Today I established a Bullish Seagull position on XLK. Since this is the first Seagull I've posted here, I thought it would be a good idea to go over the analysis using Thinkorswim (TOS).

This Bullish Seagull (Short Put + Long Call + Short Call) position has the following possible outcomes for minimum and maximum profit:

Minimum profit if all options are OTM at expiration (i.e above the short put and below the long call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbOTM Margin P/L ROI AROI
XLV 107/113/114 8/28/2020 17 72% $10,700.00 $47.97 0.45% 9.63%

Maximum profit if both call options are ITM at expiration (i.e above the short call).

Stock Strikes ExpDate Days ProbITM Margin P/L ROI AROI
XLV 107/113/114 8/28/2020 17 38% $10,700.00 $147.97 1.38% 29.69%

The following Ichimoku daily chart shows XLK in a solid uptrend above the cloud. I've drawn price lines at the short put and short call levels. Any price above the short call ($114) will result in max profit, and any price above the short put ($107) and below the long call ($113) will result in the min profit. The vertical line is the Aug 28 expiration.

The risk graph shows the profit zones, upper and lower strikes, and breakeven level. At the top are the probabilities of being within those ranges (27.35% below $107, 33.93% between $107 and $114, and 38.72% being above $114). As you can see, it's also a lopsided seagull, with more room between strikes to the downside, where all the risk is. This is by design.

The short put had a 72% probability of being OTM, which is below my goal of 80%, but still acceptable for the premium received and the short duration (17 days).

I hope this has been helpful.